How Dynamic will the LNG Market Become?

LNG imports to the U.S. are set to surge over the next ten years (50+ onshore terminals being built or going through the approval process), resulting in a new set of trading points being generated.

Owners of facilities who buy LNG from the source, move it to their facility, and then sell it off - either at the tailgate or likely utilizing firm transport to sell downstream - will simply serve as additional supply to the market.

However, some facility owners may stay away from the buy/sell process and simply provide services to its customers who do the trading – acting much like pipelines or NGL plant processors who make their money as service providers – in this case LNG services. Depending on the terminal size and number of pipeline connections, these facilities could become fairly flexible and liquid market points. While it would be prudent for LNG supply owners to have set markets for their gas, if demand continues and LNG becomes a necessary and integral supply source, then the call for this gas could be very dynamic.

Will a company take the calculated risk of bringing in supply on the chance that the market will bid up for it? Envision a tanker on its way in with the marketing sharks and end use facilities starved for supply lying in wait. Assuming that pipelines will have capacity, a facility with a number of pipeline outlets could be a very active trading point. And the demand competition wouldn’t just be in the traditional U.S. markets – the rest of the world is already ingrained in the LNG process – and tankers can change directions.

This competition on a global scale could certainly become very interesting. Of course, the facilities still need to be built, rather than just approved.


Robert Young
Product Manager - Commercial Applications

September 2007 Update

In the news...

• 2007 International Pipeline Security Forum (9/2007) ..... The 2007 International Pipeline Security Forum will be held October 23 - 25, 2007 at the Fairmont Chateau Laurier Hotel in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. The agenda is currently being developed but will cover topics ranging from NATO initiatives on pipeline security to threats to critical energy infrastructure. [More here]

• 6 Explosions Believed To Be Sabotage Rip Through Pemex Pipelines In Mexico (9/10/2007) On Monday, September 10 at 2:00 a.m. in the Gulf coast state of Veracrus, six explosions destroyed at least four natural gas pipelines belonging to Mexico's state oil monopoly - Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex). Shortly after, the People's Revolutionary Army (PRA) claimed responsibility for the attack. The PRA claimed responsibility for similar explosions three months ago. Although no injuries or deaths were reported directly from the blasts - which were heard and felt more than 20 kilometers away, -- civil defense agencies said two women in their 70s living nearby died from heart attacks shortly after the explosions. Thousands of people were forced to evacuate local communities including Ciudad Cardel and Antigua. Pemex immediately shut done the affected lines. [More here]

• Rainbow Lake Oil Pipeline Put On Sale By Imperial Oil And Partners (9/6/2007) Key proponents of the $16-billion Mackenzie natural gas pipeline - Imperial Oil, ExxonMobil and Royal Dutch Shell -- are selling the Rainbow oil pipeline in northern Alberta. The 40-year old pipeline, which transports up to 200,000 barrels a day of crude oil from Zama, Alberta to Edmonton, Alberta, is considered by analysts to be strategically important, especially if the proposed Mackenzie pipeline is constructed. It is possible the pipeline could be converted for natural gas transport. The Rainbow pipeline can also connect Enbridge Inc.'s pipeline system to U.S. Midwest and the Trans Mountain pipeline to the Pacific Coast. No price for the pipeline has been set. [More here]

• Mackenzie Gas Project; Tapping Arctic Gas Could Save $338B, Argues Minister (9/6/2007) A study done by the Government of the Northwest Territories, Canada says North Americans could spend an additional $338 billion for natural gas starting 2014 through 2025 if fuel costs soar and reserves in the Arctic remain untapped. In addition to the increased fuel costs, Brendan Bell, Minister of Industry, Tourism and Investment, told members of an influential think tank another 280 million tons of carbon emission will be released into the atmosphere if coal is used instead of natural gas for electricity generation. Mr. Bell also said the territorial government is working with Imperial Oil and its partners to create a list of infrastructure projects, such as ports, roads and power generation facilities, that may warrant federal financial support. [More here]

• Gateway Energy Corporation Acquires All Of Gulfshore Midstream's Offshore Systems (9/6/2007) Gateway Energy Corporation acquired offshore pipeline assets from Gulfshore Midstream Pipelines, Ltd. for $3.1 million in cash, 1,550,000 shares of Gateway common stock and assumption of an estimated $300,000 in liabilities. The acquisition nearly doubles Gateway's offshore pipeline network extending it from Galveston, Texas to New Orleans, Louisiana. The pipeline assets range from 6" to 16" diameter pipelines in water depths ranging from 50 to 650 feet connected to 56 wells producing approximately 60,000 MCF per day of natural gas. [More here]

• Pipeline Operator Works On Expansion (9/5/2007) Dallas-based Crosstex Energy L.P. said it has completed the first phase of an $80 million, 29-mile natural gas pipeline expansion. Once completed approximately a year from now, it will have a capacity of 400 million cubic feet per day of natural gas. The pipeline system will include three compressor stations, tie into an existing pipeline operated by Energy Transfer Partners and provide access to long-haul transportation pipelines. [More here]

• Questar Pipeline And Enterprise Announce Plans To Construct New Rockies Natural Gas Pipeline Hub (8/27/2007) Questar Pipeline Company, a subsidiary of Questar Corp., and an affiliate of Enterprise Products Partners L.P. have entered into a Memorandum of Understanding to jointly develop a new natural gas pipeline hub in the Rockies and equally split ownership. The White River Hub would be a header system that connects Enterprise’s natural gas processing complex near Meeker, Colorado to as many as six interstate pipelines in the Piceance Basin area, including the Questar Pipeline. The initial design details a 30-inch pipeline with the capacity to transport more than 2.5 billion cubic feet per day and provide hub-related services for natural gas producers. Construction is expected to begin in the summer of 2008 and be in service by the fall of 2008. [More here]

• Company Eyes Pipeline Expansion (8/22/2007) ....... .... Kern River Gas Transmission Co. may expand its Wyoming-to-California pipeline connection. The company sees potential growth among its existing California natural gas customers and future development of natural gas-derived electrical power generation. The Kern River system carries more than 1.76 billion cubic feet of gas per day but could be expanded to carry an additional 28 percent by November 2010. Initially there were doubts about the ability of Wyoming and other Rocky Mountain states to extract natural gas, trapped in unconventional tight-sands gas but the Rockies region is now the fastest growing natural gas supply in the nation. [More here]

• New Pipeline To Raise Gas Cost (8/16/2007) ......... According to energy market expert Porter Bennett of Bentek, the Rockies Express pipeline currently under construction "just radically changes the way the market is structured.". Currently there aren't enough pipelines to transport Colorado's booming natural gas production to other parts of the country, therefore depressing local gas prices. The Express pipeline starts near Meeker, CO and goes through Wyoming and eventually to Ohio. Once completed, Bennett thinks the Rockies Express will be good for the gas industry and in the future it's possible gas from the Rockies Express pipeline will be more expensive than the national price. However, in the interim period, he expects large fluctuations in gas prices throughout the country for the next few years. [More here]

• Houston Pipeline Company Fined$2.8 Million For Dumping Oil, Gas Into Texas, Arkansas, Oklahoma Waterways (8/15/2007) Houston-based oil and gas distributors TE Products Pipeline Co. LLC and TEPPCO Crude Pipeline, LLC will pay a civil penalty close to $2.8 million for discharging approximately 6,470 barrels of jet fuel, gasoline and crude oil into multiple waterways in Texas, Arkansas, and Oklahoma between November 2001 and May 2005, the Justice Department and Environmental Protection Agency announced today. Under terms of the settlement TEPPCO agreed to make pipeline improvements to increase the safety of its operations and protect the nation's waters. [More here]

• New Hampshire University First With Landfill Gas Power (8/14/2007) The University of New Hampshire (UNH) is set to become the first university in the U.S. to get 80 to 85 percent of its energy requirements from a renewable source - landfill gas. In conjunction with Waste Management of New Hampshire, Inc., UNH launched Ecoline, a landfill gas project consisting of a new gas processing plant in Rochester, NH and a 12.7-mile underground pipeline that will transport the gas from the plant to the university's Durham campus. Once completed by the fall of 2008, the use of landfill gas will reduce the university's greenhouse gas emissions by an estimated 67 percent compared to 2005 levels and stabilize the university's fluctuating energy costs, which have doubled over the last five years. [More here]